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BENCHRIDER

A FANTASY FOOTBALL START/SIT ENGINE

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THE PROBLEM

Most start/sit tools hide the data from the user. "This player is projected to score x points". Our mission is to tear down the veil and show what factors we used to reach our recommendation.

HOW IT WORKS

░Opponent-adjusted matchup
How does this defense hold players below their own season average?
░Defense shadow rates
Which cornerback will this receiver actually face? How has this specific WR performed against this specific CB historically?
░Vegas predictions
A 14-point favorite in a 40-point game runs the ball in the second half. A 3-point underdog in a 52-point game throws all night.
░WOPR & red zone role
Target share alone is misleading. WOPR (1.5×target share + 0.7×air yard share) captures whether a receiver truly commands the passing game. Red zone target rate measures TD equity per team trip.
░Recent trends
An exponential weighted average of the last 5 games. Is this player getting more or less work recently?
░Situation
Home/away, dome/outdoors, number of rest days, west-to-east travel, wind, temperature.
░ESPN comparison
We show you ESPN's projection, ranking, and % started alongside ours. Where we disagree, we explain what factored into our decision.

THE DATA

Benchrider uses the same dataset that professional analysts and researchers use. This includes per-play participation data, PFR advanced stats, and Vegas lines from 2022 through the present.

WHO BUILT THIS

Built by CHRISTIAN LOPEZ

NOT AFFILIATED WITH ANY FANTASY SPORTS PROVIDER. ALL PROJECTIONS ARE ESTIMATES.